ANALYSIS OF ADMINISTRATIVE DECISION ON THE DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET LAW No. 27,591 FOR THE FISCAL YEAR 2021

ANALYSIS OF ADMINISTRATIVE DECISION ON THE DISTRIBUTION OF BUDGET LAW No. 27,591 FOR THE FISCAL YEAR 2021

The Chief of Cabinet of Ministers published Administrative Decision No. 4 by which it distributes the budgetary appropriations for the year 2021 in accordance with the provisions of the Budget Law.

The amendments introduced by the National Congress to the bill sent by the Executive Branch required reallocations for AR$ 97.82 billion but did not entail an increase in the total spending approved by law, but rather compensations, basically due to the reduction of Treasury liability items.

BUDGET BILL 2021 – ENERGY AND TRANSPORTATION SUBSIDIES

BUDGET BILL 2021 – ENERGY AND TRANSPORTATION SUBSIDIES

Next year’s projected expenditure on energy and transportation subsidies amounts to AR$805.8 billion, which is equivalent to 2.2% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), at the same level of that foreseen for 2020. Of these funds, 77.4% is allocated to subsidize the gas and electricity sector, and 22.6% to transportation.

  • Since 2017, energy subsidies have grown 0.5% of GDP and in 2021 they will be at 1.7%, same as this year. The highest record was in 2014, with 2.8%.
  • The most significant allocations are for the electricity sector, with AR$446.6 billion foreseen in the Budget Bill for 2021, a real increase of 4%.
  • Users will face 43% of the estimated cost of electricity next year, a level comparable to that of 2016.
  • The energy deficit in the last decade averaged USD2.98 billion, contrasting with the trade surplus of that time.
  • A total of AR$71.7 billion will be allocated in subsidies to natural gas supply, which implies an increase of 5.3% with respect to the expected for 2020.
  • A rise in subsidies to natural gas demand is also foreseen, including a higher subsidy to liquefied gas cylinders.
  • Transportation subsidies would remain at 0.5% of GDP, with an increase for motor vehicles and a cut for trains.
  • Travel on working days will increase 200% and the AR$12.7 billion to finance social fare implies a drop in real terms of 17.7% in relation to the expected for 2020.
  • In the last months, 91% of the costs were covered with subsidies and the passenger load factor was 5%.
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